DATA SPOTLIGHT: Brazil

This year The Blue Swan Daily will feature some of the leading airlines, airports and country markets for air travel. Here, using the extensive profile insights available to CAPA – Centre for Aviation members, we deliver a data snapshot on Brazil, where there appears to be strong sentiment for a travel recovery despite the country continuing to be hit hard by the Covid-19 pandemic.

In a recent report entitled: ‘Covid 19: Brazil remains a paradox during the pandemic‘, aviation and travel industry market intelligence specialist CAPA – Centre for Aviation has stated that even as Brazil remains in the throes of the Covid-19 pandemic, a survey suggests that a sizeable proportion of the country’s population seems interested in travelling before the end of 2020.

This is based upon research from travel agency and metasearch engine KAYAK who conducted a poll in the country which indicated 47% of respondents would be ready to travel in the 2H2020. The majority of respondents, 59%, aimed to take a family trip, and 51% were interested in travelling by air. Those are encouraging signs, but as CAPA highlights, the key outcome will be “that the desire to travel materialises into actual bookings”.

The International Air Transport Association (IATA) in its latest Air Passenger Analysis for May-2020 highlighted that Brazil was the only major global domestic market where the annual fall in capacity (-91.1%) broadly matched the contraction in demand (-93.1%). Its load factor was therefore the highest amongst the key domestic markets (71.2%) and also fell less dramatically than in the other main domestic markets (down 11pp).

The country’s Covid-19 case numbers have exploded, but two of the country’s largest airlines posted solid month-on-month traffic results for Jun-2020, and plan to keep adding back service through Aug-2020.

AIRPORTS IN THE COUNTRY

ANNUAL VISITOR ARRIVALS (2010 – 2020YTD)

VISITOR ARRIVALS BY MARKET (2019)

SCHEDULE MOVEMENT SUMMARY (w/c 20-Jul-2020)

ANNUAL CAPACITY (2012 – 2020*)NOTE:*the values for this year are at least partly predictive up to six months and may be subject to change.

WEEKLY DOMESTIC CAPACITY (2017 – 2020*)NOTE:*the values for this year are at least partly predictive up to six months and may be subject to change.

WEEKLY INTERNATIONAL CAPACITY (2017-2020*)NOTE:*the values for this year are at least partly predictive up to six months and may be subject to change.

CAPACITY SPLIT BETWEEN DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL OPERATIONS (w/c 20-Jul-2020)

LARGEST AIRLINES BY CAPACITY (w/c 20-Jul-2020)

CAPACITY SPLIT BETWEEN LOCAL AND FOREIGN OPERATORS (w/c 20-Jul-2020)

AIRLINE BUSINESS MODEL CAPACITY SPLIT (w/c 20-Jul-2020)

DEVELOPMENT OF LCC ACTIVITY IN COUNTRY (2009 – 2019)

ALLIANCE CAPACITY SPLIT (w/c 20-Jul-2020)

INTERNATIONAL CAPACITY BREAKDOWN BY COUNTRY (w/c 20-Jul-2020)

DEPARTING SYSTEM SEATS BY CLASS (w/c 20-Jul-2020)

BUSIEST DOMESTIC MARKETS BY CAPACITY (w/c 20-Jul-2020)

BUSIEST INTERNATIONAL MARKETS BY CAPACITY (w/c 20-Jul-2020)

LOCAL AIRLINES’ AIRCRAFT FLEET (as at 20-Jul-2020)

MORE INSIGHTS:

COVID 19: Brazil remains a paradox during the pandemic

COVID 19: LATAM Airlines Group makes bold moves in restructuring

COVID 19: Brazil’s rising cases create new uncertainty for airlines

COVID 19: Brazil’s Azul – advantages in multi fleet strategy

COVID 19: Brazil’s GOL remains bullish on the 737 MAX