Cathay Pacific Cargo: 4Q2019 'looks promising', but 1H2020 expected to be 'weak'

29 November, 2019

Cathay Pacific Cargo head of cargo global partnerships James Conlin, via the carrier's official 'Cargo Clan' newsletter, stated (28-Nov-2019) the airline's performance "picked up" since Sep-2019, but performance remains below the level of 4Q2018. Mr Conlin also stated:

  • 4Q2019 "looks promising" with "positive momentum" in Oct/Nov-2019. The improvement was driven by several charter operations for consumer product launches, the 'Singles' Day' event in China on 11-Nov-2019 and restocking ahead of Thanksgiving and Christmas;
  • Mr Conlin described 'Singles' Day' as "an extraordinary show of Chinese consumer power", which "appeared to shrug off the impact of the trade war";
  • Manufacturing indicators picked up in Oct-2019 for most countries, including South Korea, Germany and the US;
  • Mr Conlin noted "positive inklings" of a trade agreement between China and the US, but noted "uncertainty persists as trans Pacific trade tensions have once again escalated in recent days";
  • Cathay remains "cautiously optimistic" about 2020, but expects 1H2020 to be "weak".