Australia-NZ seats hit a record 9.4% year on year increase for the Jan-2017 peak.

    As New Zealand’s economy sparkles, trans-Tasman activity is growing at well above historic rates. New Zealand GDP is projected to increase 3.5%, against Australia’s 2% for the current financial year.

    Inbound tourism to NZ from Australia was up by 6% y-o-y for the 12 months to Sep-2016, while New Zealand inbound to Australia grew only 3% to Oct-2016.

    The Australian airline market is unsurprisingly very important to New Zealand, with nearly 60% of all its international capacity directed across the Tasman, while it constitutes less than a quarter of total Australian international seats.

    Annual peak season trans-Tasman capacity (seats) Jan-2014/2017

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    This year, illustrating the growing importance of Asia’s long haul LCCs in the ANZ market, much of the additional is accounted for by the addition of AirAsia X into Auckland, with an added 2,700 extra seats/week.

    AirAsia X started serving Auckland from Gold Coast Airport in Mar-2016 and now has a 4.2% share of the total Tasman market.

    Trans-Tasman market shares 2013 – 2017

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    Another addition to the market since 2016 is the Canberra-Wellington service added by Singapore Airlines, adding another 1,140 seats a week.

    The effect of these new services is slightly to reduce the reliance on the key route of Sydney-Auckland, where capacity will only rise 6% against Jan-2016. This is a typical effect as markets open up and new airlines enter the market.